Systematic Trading vs. Emotional Trading

Table of Contents

Disclaimer

All articles are for education purposes only, and not to be taken as advice to buy/sell. Please do your own due diligence before committing to any trade or investments.

Disclaimer

All articles are for education purposes only, and not to be taken as advice to buy/sell. Please do your own due diligence before committing to any trade or investments.

comparison between systematic trading and emotional trading

Table of Contents

Systematic trading relies on rules and algorithms, while emotional trading depends on intuition and experience. The key difference? Systematic trading removes emotions from decisions, ensuring consistency and discipline, while emotional trading can lead to impulsive actions, especially under stress.

Here’s what you need to know:

  • Systematic Trading: Uses predefined rules, automated systems, and backtesting. It excels in consistency, risk management, and handling volatility but lacks flexibility and depends heavily on technology.
  • Emotional Trading: Relies on gut instincts and real-time judgment. It offers flexibility but is prone to psychological traps like fear, greed, and overconfidence, often leading to inconsistent results.

Quick takeaway: Systematic trading is better for steady, long-term success, while emotional trading can work for experienced traders who can control their emotions under pressure. For most traders in Singapore, learning rule-based strategies can help avoid common pitfalls and improve results.

Systematic Trading: Features, Benefits, and Drawbacks

Main Features of Systematic Trading

Systematic trading operates on strict, rule-based models, leaving no room for personal judgment. Each trade is executed according to predefined technical rules and patterns, ensuring a disciplined approach.

One of the cornerstones of this method is rigorous backtesting. Before putting any strategy into action, traders test their rules against historical data across various market conditions. This process helps identify potential flaws and refine the system, reducing risks when real money is on the line.

Automation is another key element. Many traders rely on software platforms to automatically execute trades when specific conditions are met. This ensures consistent execution, removing the chances of hesitation or emotional interference during critical moments.

Risk management is handled systematically. Position sizes are calculated through formulas, stop-loss levels follow fixed rules, and portfolio allocation adheres to strict guidelines. This structured approach minimises the risk of any single trade or market event significantly impacting the trading account.

Benefits of Systematic Trading

The features of systematic trading translate into several clear advantages.

Perhaps the most impactful benefit is emotional neutrality. Decisions are made by computers based on predefined criteria, eliminating the influence of fear or greed. This removes common psychological traps, like holding onto losing trades for too long or prematurely exiting winning positions.

Systematic trading ensures consistent application of rules, regardless of market conditions. This consistency allows traders to objectively evaluate their strategies and make adjustments based on data rather than gut feelings.

Once a strategy is proven effective, it can scale easily. Traders can apply it to larger positions or across multiple markets without requiring additional effort, making it particularly appealing for professional traders and institutions.

Performance measurement is straightforward. Because every trade follows the same logic, traders can analyse results with precision, tracking metrics like win rates, average returns, and maximum drawdowns. This clarity helps identify what works and what doesn’t.

Additionally, systematic trading allows for the simultaneous execution of multiple uncorrelated strategies, spreading risk across different systems.

For traders in Singapore, resources like the Collin Seow Trading Academy offer valuable insights into systematic strategies, emphasising discipline and emotion-free decision-making.

Drawbacks of Systematic Trading

Despite its advantages, systematic trading comes with its own set of challenges.

One major issue is inflexibility. Markets are constantly changing, and rigid rules may not adapt well to new conditions or unexpected events. A system that thrives in trending markets might falter in sideways or highly volatile environments.

Another common problem is over-optimisation. Traders sometimes create overly complex systems that perform brilliantly in backtests but fail in real-world conditions. This happens when the system captures historical noise instead of genuine market patterns.

Systematic trading is also heavily dependent on technology. System failures, internet outages, or software glitches can disrupt trade execution, potentially leading to missed opportunities or losses.

Developing a robust system requires significant time and expertise. Building an effective strategy demands skills in programming, statistics, and market analysis – areas that many traders underestimate in complexity.

Economic shifts or regulatory changes can quickly erode a system’s effectiveness. Traders must monitor their systems closely and be ready to adjust or abandon strategies when they no longer deliver results.

Finally, the inability to override rules can be a drawback. Traders might spot clear opportunities or risks that their systems fail to recognise, but the rigid nature of systematic trading prevents them from acting on these insights.

These limitations highlight the challenges of relying solely on systematic methods, especially when compared to more flexible, discretionary approaches.

Emotional Trading: Features and Psychological Risks

Main Features of Emotional Trading

Emotional trading leans on intuition rather than rigid algorithms. Traders often rely on their experience and gut instincts to make quick decisions in real-time. This approach allows them to factor in qualitative elements like sudden market sentiment shifts or breaking news. It also gives them the flexibility to adjust strategies swiftly when they sense changes in market dynamics. However, this intuition-based method comes with its own set of challenges, particularly when it comes to maintaining consistency and discipline.

Psychological Risks in Emotional Trading

The psychological hurdles in emotional trading are significant, with fear and greed playing a major role. Without a structured set of rules, traders can fall into erratic patterns. For instance, a streak of successful trades may lead to overconfidence, prompting them to take on excessive risks. On the flip side, losses can trigger revenge trading, where traders attempt to recover losses by making increasingly risky bets.

Other mental traps include analysis paralysis, where traders hesitate due to being overwhelmed with information, and confirmation bias, where they only focus on data that supports their existing beliefs. These biases can cloud judgment and lead to poor decision-making.

For Singapore traders, the situation can be even more stressful. Trading across multiple time zones often means extended hours and disrupted sleep schedules, which can intensify the psychological strain, especially during volatile market periods.

Systematic vs Emotional Trading: Decision-Making Under Pressure

Performance During Market Volatility

Let’s dive into how systematic and emotional trading stack up when the market gets turbulent. During periods of high volatility, these two approaches show stark differences. Systematic trading sticks to a disciplined game plan, relying on pre-set rules and algorithms to make decisions. It acts on specific market signals without hesitation. A clear example of this was during the COVID-19 market collapse.

In 2020, as the pandemic wreaked havoc on global markets, systematic trend-following models quickly identified the downward trajectory. These models automatically executed short-selling strategies, allowing investors using this approach to profit from the downturn. On the flip side, traders relying on discretionary, emotion-driven decisions faced heavy losses.

Research backs this up, showing that algorithmic trading plays a significant role in calming market volatility. For every unit increase in algorithmic activity, the standard deviation of intraday returns drops by 0.817. This happens because systematic models counteract herd behaviour, which often amplifies market chaos.

While emotional trading can be more flexible in rapidly changing markets, it’s particularly vulnerable during stressful times. For traders in Singapore, the challenges of trading across different time zones – along with disrupted sleep and heightened stress – make it even harder to separate real market signals from noise. This is where systematic models shine, as their clear, rule-based entry and exit points eliminate the risk of impulsive decisions.

Comparison Table: Systematic vs Emotional Trading

Here’s a quick side-by-side look at how these two approaches differ:

Aspect Systematic Trading Emotional Trading
Decision-Making Process Trades are executed automatically based on pre-set rules and algorithms Relies on intuition, experience, and real-time judgement
Response to Market Volatility Maintains consistency regardless of market conditions Prone to impulsive, stress-driven decisions
Risk Management Built-in risk parameters and position sizing rules Depends heavily on the trader’s discipline and emotional state
Consistency Delivers steady performance across various conditions Varies depending on the trader’s mindset
Flexibility Less responsive to unexpected events Can adjust strategies quickly when needed
Time Requirements Requires little active monitoring after setup Demands constant attention and decision-making
Psychological Impact Reduces emotional stress in trading High psychological pressure, especially during losses
Performance During Crises Historically outperforms during downturns Often struggles due to fear-driven decisions

Interestingly, investor sentiment accounts for about 25% of the reduction in volatility brought about by algorithmic trading, while herd behaviour explains just 4%. This highlights how systematic trading excels by cutting out emotional biases, which often lead to poor decisions in high-pressure situations.

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Practical Tips for Singapore Traders

The Importance of Systematic Trading Education

Building a successful trading career in Singapore requires more than just luck or intuition – it demands a structured approach that removes emotions from the equation. The numbers don’t lie: roughly 90% of traders lose money due to emotional decision-making. This stark statistic highlights why education in systematic trading is so important.

Imagine investing S$10,000 over 20 years. A disciplined, rule-based strategy can significantly outperform emotional, reactive trading. On the flip side, missing just a few key trading days can drastically reduce your returns. This is why having a solid foundation in systematic trading is vital for traders in Singapore.

The Collin Seow Trading Academy offers educational resources tailored to help traders build these foundations. Their courses, such as “Market Timing 101” and “Systematic Trading Profits”, are designed to teach rule-based systems that remove the guesswork and emotional biases from trading. These frameworks focus on critical areas like risk management and disciplined practices, ensuring traders make decisions based on strategy rather than impulse.

Benjamin Graham’s timeless advice resonates here:

“The best way to measure your investing success is not by whether you’re beating the market but by whether you’ve put in place a financial plan and a behavioural discipline that are likely to get you where you want to go”.

For Singapore traders, this education is particularly crucial. Factors like SGX market hours, liquidity challenges, and currency risks when trading international securities demand strategies tailored to our local environment. A systematic approach helps traders navigate these challenges while avoiding the emotional pitfalls that derail many.

Managing Emotional Pressures in Trading

Trading isn’t just about numbers – it’s also about managing the psychological pressures that come with the job. For Singapore traders, these pressures can be amplified by unique challenges like trading across different time zones, disrupted sleep schedules, and the stress of balancing positions with busy work lives. To stay on track, it’s essential to set clear goals and build systems that keep emotions in check.

Start by setting specific, measurable financial targets. For example, aim to save S$25,000 by December 2025. Clear goals add purpose to your trading activities and help you resist the urge to make impulsive decisions that stray from your plan.

Next, develop a rule-based trading system. This system should include precise entry and exit points, as well as risk controls. Even top traders only achieve win rates between 40-60%, but their success comes from sticking to their rules, not from emotional decision-making. A good rule of thumb is to limit risk to 1-2% of your capital per trade and keep your total exposure to no more than 5% of your portfolio.

Before putting your system into action, backtest it thoroughly. Use 5-10 years of historical data to see how it performs under different market conditions. This step not only builds confidence in your strategy but also helps you fine-tune it. Aim for a profit factor above 1.5, a Sharpe ratio above 1.0, and a maximum drawdown of less than 20%, while targeting an annual return of at least 15%.

During volatile markets, stick to your pre-set rules rather than acting on impulse. For instance, trade smaller positions, set wider stop-loss levels, and focus on stocks that align with the market’s movements. Avoid falling for false breakouts. These adjustments should be part of your strategy from the start, not reactions to stress.

Leveraging automated trading tools can also make a big difference. These tools execute trades based on your pre-set conditions, helping you maintain discipline even during high-pressure moments. As Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist, puts it:

“The start of a new year brings fresh opportunities to reassess and set financial goals. Whether you’re new to investing or looking to refine your strategy, having clear and actionable goals is the foundation of long-term wealth creation”.

Finally, track your progress regularly. Use trading journals to monitor key metrics like win rates, profit factors, and Sharpe ratios. Focus on improving your processes rather than just chasing profits. This shift in mindset helps lay the groundwork for long-term success.

Preparation and education are your best defences against emotional pressures. Ann Dowd, CFP® and Vice President at Fidelity, underscores this point:

“Careful planning is essential in all economic climates, but it’s particularly valuable for times of market turmoil”.

Conclusion: Choosing the Right Approach for Your Trading Goals

From our analysis of features and risks, it’s evident that the choice between systematic and emotional trading boils down to one key factor: long-term market survival. While emotional trading may feel intuitive, the numbers tell a different story – systematic strategies consistently outperform emotionally-driven decisions over time.

Systematic trading offers a clear, rule-based framework that removes guesswork. You’ll know exactly when to enter and exit trades, as well as how much risk to take on. This approach is particularly valuable during Singapore’s often unpredictable trading sessions, whether you’re dealing with SGX stocks or managing overnight positions in international markets.

On the other hand, emotional trading – though flexible – can lead to impulsive decisions, especially during periods of high volatility. For traders juggling responsibilities like work or family, emotions can easily interfere with sound judgment.

For Singapore traders, systematic approaches are especially helpful in addressing local challenges such as SGX’s limited trading hours and exposure to currency fluctuations. With pre-set rules in place, you can avoid the stress of making decisions on the fly, even in volatile conditions.

Key Takeaways

Here’s what stands out:

  • Discipline beats sporadic brilliance. Long-term success in trading isn’t about occasional wins but about sticking to a disciplined system. This becomes even more crucial when managing S$10,000 or S$100,000 of your savings.
  • Education is essential. Understanding market dynamics, risk management, and systematic strategies is not optional – it’s a must. Programmes like those offered by the Collin Seow Trading Academy, such as “Market Timing 101”, provide structured learning to help traders build reliable, rule-based systems.
  • Emotional control is non-negotiable. Markets will test your patience and resolve. A systematic approach ensures you’re prepared for challenges like sudden drops in the STI or unexpected swings in your favourite stock. Instead of reacting emotionally, you’ll have a plan to guide your decisions.

The way forward is clear: adopt systematic trading principles while recognising that emotions are part of the process. The goal isn’t to suppress feelings but to ensure they don’t dictate your trades. Develop, test, and stick to your system – your success depends on it.

FAQs

How can I create a systematic trading strategy without any programming or statistical knowledge?

Starting a systematic trading strategy doesn’t have to be overwhelming, even if you lack programming or statistical skills. There are plenty of beginner-friendly tools out there that let you design and test strategies without needing to write a single line of code. Many platforms feature drag-and-drop or point-and-click interfaces, making it simple to get started and explore.

To build your strategy, dive into historical trading data and look for patterns or trends that repeat over time. Once you spot something promising, use basic backtesting tools to test your ideas and fine-tune them as you go. If you’re looking for more guidance, explore trading courses or books that break down systematic trading concepts in an easy-to-follow way. With consistent practice and learning, you can create a strategy that aligns with your trading goals.

What are the common emotional pitfalls in trading, and how can I avoid them?

Emotional trading often pulls traders into psychological traps such as fear, greed, overconfidence, and confirmation bias. Fear can drive panic-selling during market downturns, while greed might tempt traders to hold onto losing positions, hoping for an unlikely recovery. Overconfidence often leads to excessive risk-taking, and confirmation bias can cause traders to ignore evidence that challenges their expectations.

To steer clear of these common pitfalls, it’s essential to stick to a disciplined trading plan. Setting clear stop-loss levels – and, more importantly, following them – can help you make rational decisions. Developing emotional resilience is equally important; managing stress and resisting impulsive actions can keep you on track. Systematic trading strategies, like those taught at Collin Seow Trading Academy, provide a structured approach to help you stay objective and focused, even in high-pressure situations.

Are there situations where emotional trading might perform better than systematic trading?

While systematic trading tends to offer consistency and dependability, there are moments when emotional trading might come out on top. Take sudden market crashes or unexpected news, for instance – an experienced trader’s gut instinct and ability to act swiftly can sometimes outpace the response of a pre-programmed system. Likewise, in highly volatile markets, emotional trading might capitalise on fleeting opportunities that systematic strategies, bound by historical data and rigid rules, might overlook.

That said, such scenarios are rare and hard to predict. Emotional trading often comes with substantial risks, as it’s prone to biases and rash decisions. This is why systematic trading remains the go-to approach for achieving sustainable, long-term results.

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Bryan Ang

Bryan Ang is a financial expert with a passion for investing and trading. He is an avid reader and researcher who has built an impressive library of books and articles on the subject.

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